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      当前位置: 牛股配资网 > 配资开户 > 2020年A股展望

      2020年A股展望

      2020-08-26 0条评论

      依[yi]据[ju]开[kai]博[bo]以[yi]来[lai]的[de]惯[guan]例[li],今[jin]天[tian]发[fa]布[bu]年[nian]度[du]展[zhan]望[wang]博[bo]文[wen]。撰[zhuan]文[wen]之[zhi]前[qian],声[sheng]明[ming]如[ru]下[xia],所[suo]做[zuo]预[yu]测[ce]仅[jin]供[gong]参[can]考[kao]。股[gu]市[shi]有[you]风[feng]险[xian],入[ru]市[shi]须[xu]谨[jin]慎[shen]。

      格[ge]式[shi]亦[yi]如[ru]往[wang]年[nian],先[xian]来[lai]亮[liang]下[xia]观[guan]点[dian]:

      1、问[wen]:2020年[nian]大[da]盘[pan]最[zui]多[duo]能[nen]涨[zhang]到[dao]多[duo]少[shao]点[dian]? 答[da]:3400点[dian](上[shang]证[zheng]综[zong]指[zhi])。

      2、问[wen]:2020年[nian]行[xing]情[qing]看[kan]好[hao]哪[na]个[ge]板[ban]块[kuai]、哪[na]个[ge]概[gai]念[nian]? 答[da]:看[kan]好[hao]先[xian]进[jin]制[zhi]造[zao]板[ban]块[kuai]与[yu]雄[xiong]安[an]新[xin]区[qu]概[gai]念[nian]。

      上[shang]述[shu]两[liang]问[wen]题[ti]涉[she]及[ji]的[de]是[shi]股[gu]市[shi]的[de]宏[hong]观[guan]与[yu]中[zhong]观[guan]两[liang]个[ge]层[ceng]面[mian]。对[dui]于[yu]第[di]三[san]层[ceng]面[mian]——微[wei]观[guan]即[ji]个[ge]股[gu],元[yuan]旦[dan]后[hou]将[jiang]另[ling]外[wai]撰[zhuan]文[wen]阐[chan]述[shu]。下[xia]面[mian]就[jiu]2020年[nian]A股[gu]市[shi]场[chang]的[de]宏[hong]观[guan]、中[zhong]观[gu美美配资an]情[qing]况[kuang]谈[tan]谈[tan]看[kan]法[fa]:接[jie]下[xia]来[lai]为[wei]大[da]家[jia]介[jie]绍[shao]"[美[mei]美[mei]配[pei]资[zi]]简[jian]述[shu]2020年[nian]A股[gu]展[zhan]望[wang]"有[you]兴[xing]趣[qu]的[de]朋[peng]友[you]来[lai]看[kan]下[xia]文[wen]
      2020年[nian]A股[gu]展[zhan]望[wang]

      宏[hong]观[guan]方[fang]面[mian](大[da]盘[pan])

      观[guan]大[da]势[shi]者[zhe]须[xu]析[xi]政[zheng]策[ce]。日[ri]前[qian]召[zhao]开[kai]的[de]中[zhong]央[yang]经[jing]济[ji]工[gong]作[zuo]会[hui]议[yi]对[dui]经[jing]济[ji]形[xing]势[shi]的[de]判[pan]断[duan]是[shi]“我[wo]国[guo]正[zheng]处[chu]在[zai]转[zhuan]变[bian]发[fa]展[zhan]方[fang]式[shi]、优[you]化[hua]经[jing]济[ji]结[jie]构[gou]、转[zhuan]换[huan]增[zeng]长[chang]动[dong]力[li]的[de]攻[gong]关[guan]期[qi],结[jie]构[gou]性[xing]、体[ti]制[zhi]性[xing]、周[zhou]期[qi]性[xing]问[wen]题[ti]相[xiang]互[hu]交[jiao]织[zhi],‘三[san]期[qi]叠[die]加[jia]’影[ying]响[xiang]持[chi]续[xu]深[shen]化[hua],经[jing]济[ji]下[xia]行[xing]压[ya]力[li]加[jia]大[da]”。遥[yao]想[xiang]去[qu]年[nian]此[ci]刻[ke],会[美美配资hui]议[yi]表[biao]述[shu]是[shi]“经[jing]济[ji]面[mian]临[lin]下[xia]行[xing]压[ya]力[li]”,今[jin]年[nian]表[biao]述[shu]语[yu]气[qi]比[bi]去[qu]年[nian]加[jia]重[zhong]了[liao],不[bu]但[dan]是[shi]面[mian]临[lin]着[zhou],而[er]且[qie]压[ya]力[li]还[huai]加[jia]大[da]了[liao]。

      对[dui]经[jing]济[ji]形[xing]势[shi]的[de]判[pan]断[duan],将[jiang]决[jue]定[ding]着[zhou]来[lai]年[nian]宏[hong]观[guan]政[zheng]策[ce]的[de]“松[song]紧[jin]”。因[yin]此[ci],提[ti]出[chu]了[liao]“坚[jian]持[chi]宏[hong]观[guan]政[zheng]策[ce]要[yao]稳[wen]、微[wei]观[guan]政[zheng]策[ce]要[yao]活[huo]、社[she]会[hui]政[zheng]策[ce]要[yao]托[tuo]底[di]的[de]政[zheng]策[ce]框[kuang]架[jia]”。相[xiang]比[bi]去[qu]年[nian],今[jin]年[nian]没[mei]有[you]再[zai]提[ti]“逆[ni]周[zhou]期[qi]调[diao]节[jie]”,而[er]是[shi]用[yong]了[liao]新[xin]词[ci]汇[hui]——“托[tuo]底[di]”,这[zhe]可[ke]能[nen]是[shi]来[lai]年[美美配资nian]经[jing]济[ji]工[gong]作[zuo]的[de]重[zhong]要[yao]“目[mu]标[biao]”。“托[tuo]”嘛[ma]!经[jing]济[ji]增[zeng]长[chang]就[jiu]会[hui]有[you]底[di]部[bu]区[qu]域[yu]。市[shi]场[chang]对[dui]GDP增[zeng]速[su]是[shi]否[fu]保[bao]6%存[cun]在[zai]较[jiao]多[duo]争[zheng]论[lun]。其[qi]实[shi],具[ju]体[ti]精[jing]确[que]点[dian]位[wei]没[mei]多[duo]大[da]争[zheng]论[lun]价[jia]值[zhi],从[cong]区[qu]间[jian]视[shi]之[zhi]更[geng]为[wei]科[ke]学[xue]合[he]理[li]。

      财[cai]政[zheng]政[zheng]策[ce]方[fang]面[mian],会[hui]议[yi]表[biao]述[shu]与[yu]去[qu]年[nian]一[yi]样[yang]为[wei]“继[ji]续[xu]实[shi]施[shi]积[ji]极[ji]的[de]财[cai]政[zheng]政[zheng]策[ce]”,举[ju]措[cuo]则[ze]是[shi]“大[da]力[li]提[ti]质[zhi]增[zeng]效[xiao],更[geng]加[jia]注[zhu]重[zhong]结[jie]构[gou]调[diao]整[zheng],坚[jian]决[jue]压[ya]缩[suo]一[yi]般[ban]性[xing]支[zhi]出[chu]”。去[qu]年[nian]重[zhong]点[dian]提[ti]到[dao]了[liao]“实[shi]施[shi]更[geng]大[da]规[gui]模[mo]的[de]减[jian]税[shui]降[jiang]费[fei],较[jiao]大[da]幅[fu]度[du]增[zeng]加[jia]地[di]方[fang]政[zheng]府[fu]专[zhuan]项[xiang]债[zhai]券[quan]规[gui]模[mo]”,今[jin]年[nian]没[mei]有[you]提[ti]。减[jian]税[shui]降[jiang]费[fei],增[zeng]加[jia]专[zhuan]项[xiang]债[zhai]的[de]政[zheng]策[ce]措[cuo]施[shi]应[ying]该[gai]还[huai]会[hui]延[yan]续[xu],但[dan]在[zai]量[liang]上[shang]不[bu]能[nen]太[tai]过[guo]期[qi]许[xu],而[er]是[shi]要[yao]精[jing]准[zhun]发[fa]力[li]了[liao]。

      货[huo]币[bi]政[zheng]策[ce]方[fang]面[mian],会[hui]议[yi]表[biao]述[shu]与[yu]去[qu]年[nian]一[yi]样[yang]为[wei]“稳[wen]健[jian]的[de]货[huo]币[bi]政[zheng]策[ce]”,举[ju]措[cuo]是[shi]“要[yao]灵[ling]活[huo]适[shi]度[du],保[bao]持[chi]流[liu]动[dong]性[xing]合[he]理[li]充[chong]裕[yu],货[huo]币[bi]信[xin]贷[dai]、社[she]会[hui]融[rong]资[zi]规[gui]模[mo]增[zeng]长[chang]同[tong]经[jing]济[ji]发[fa]展[zhan]相[xiang]适[shi]应[ying],降[jiang]低[di]社[she]会[hui]融[rong]资[zi]成[cheng]本[ben]”,与[yu]去[qu]年[nian]变[bian]化[hua]不[bu]大[da]。重[zhong]点[dian]提[ti]“降[jiang]低[di]社[she]会[hui]融[rong]资[zi]成[cheng]本[ben]”,“增[zeng]加[jia]制[zhi]造[zao]业[ye]中[zhong]长[chang]期[qi]融[rong]资[zi]”,政[zheng]策[ce]未[wei]来[lai]会[hui]向[xiang]制[zhi]造[zao]业[ye]倾[qing]斜[xie]。值[zhi]得[de]一[yi]提[ti]的[de]是[shi],2020年[nian]“三[san]大[da]攻[gong]坚[jian]战[zhan]”的[de]排[pai]序[xu]有[you]变[bian]化[hua],排[pai]在[zai]首[shou]位[wei]的[de]是[shi]脱[tuo]贫[pin]攻[gong]坚[jian],而[er]不[bu]是[shi]防[fang]范[fan]金[jin]融[rong]风[feng]险[xian]。“要[yao]保[bao]持[chi]宏[hong]观[guan]杠[gong]杆[gan]率[lv]基[ji]本[ben]稳[wen]定[ding]”,其[qi]中[zhong]意[yi]思[si]要[yao]细[xi]心[xin]体[ti]会[hui]。

      2019年[nian]A股[gu]市[shi]场[chang]出[chu]现[xian]了[liao]结[jie]构[gou]化[hua]行[xing]情[qing]。随[sui]着[zhou]A股[gu]国[guo]际[ji]化[hua]进[jin]程[cheng]的[de]推[tui]进[jin]、各[ge]种[zhong]指[zhi]数[shu]的[de]纳[na]入[ru],中[zhong]国[guo]股[gu]市[shi]受[shou]到[dao]越[yue]来[lai]越[yue]多[duo]国[guo]际[ji]资[zi]金[jin]的[de]青[qing]睐[lai],股[gu]市[shi]也[ye]越[yue]来[lai]越[yue]国[guo]际[ji]化[hua],出[chu]现[xian]“强[qiang]者[zhe]恒[heng]强[qiang],弱[ruo]者[zhe]恒[heng]弱[ruo]”的[de]格[ge]局[ju]。大[da]多[duo]数[shu]个[ge]人[ren]投[tou]资[zi]者[zhe]跑[pao]不[bu]赢[ying]指[zhi]数[shu],成[cheng]为[wei]越[yue]来[lai]越[yue]普[pu]遍[bian]的[de]现[xian]象[xiang]。

      综[zong]上[shang]所[suo]述[shu],对[dui]于[yu]大[da]盘[pan]点[dian]位[wei],预[yu]测[ce]上[shang]证[zheng]综[zong]指[zhi]最[zui]高[gao]点[dian]为[wei]3400点[dian]。预[yu]测[ce]未[wei]来[lai]2900点[dian]将[jiang]是[shi]市[shi]场[chang]中[zhong]枢[shu]值[zhi],在[zai]目[mu]前[qian]点[dian]位[wei]基[ji]础[chu]上[shang]加[jia]20%的[de]高[gao]度[du]测[ce]算[suan]再[zai]凑[cu]个[ge]整[zheng]数[shu],大[da]约[yue]在[zai]3400点[dian]附[fu]近[jin]。

      中[zhong]观[guan]方[fang]面[mian](板[ban]块[kuai])

      随[sui]着[zhou]中[zhong]美[mei]贸[mao]易[yi]谈[tan]判[pan]第[di]一[yi]阶[jie]段[duan]结[jie]果[guo]出[chu]炉[lu],影[ying]响[xiang]A股[gu]市[shi]场[chang]的[de]宏[hong]观[guan]因[yin]素[su]确[que]定[ding]了[liao]。展[zhan]望[wang]2020年[nian],A股[gu]市[shi]场[chang]有[you]望[wang]进[jin]入[ru]稳[wen]步[bu]向[xiang]上[shang]状[zhuang]态[tai]。板[ban]块[kuai]热[re]点[dian]还[huai]是[shi]要[yao]看[kan]政[zheng]策[ce]着[zhou]力[li]点[dian],在[zai]会[hui]议[yi]布[bu]置[zhi]工[gong]作[zuo]第[di]五[wu]部[bu]分[fen]体[ti]现[xian]比[bi]较[jiao]明[ming]显[xian]。“引[yin]导[dao]资[zi]金[jin]投[tou]向[xiang]供[gong]需[xu]共[gong]同[tong]受[shou]益[yi]、具[ju]有[you]乘[cheng]数[shu]效[xiao]应[ying]的[de]先[xian]进[jin]制[zhi]造[zao]、民[min]生[sheng]建[jian]设[she]、基[ji]础[chu]设[she]施[shi]短[duan]板[ban]等[deng]领[ling]域[yu],促[chun]进[jin]产[chan]业[ye]和[he]消[xiao]费[fei]双[shuang]升[sheng]级[ji]”。板[ban]块[kuai]与[yu]概[gai]念[nian]的[de]投[tou]资[zi]机[ji]会[hui]有[you]望[wang]有[you]乘[cheng]数[shu]效[xiao]应[ying],先[xian]进[jin]制[zhi]造[zao]、民[min]生[sheng]建[jian]设[she]、基[ji]础[chu]设[she]施[shi]短[duan]板[ban]三[san]大[da]领[ling]域[yu]值[zhi]得[de]关[guan]注[zhu]。

      预[yu]计[ji]2020年[nian]的[de]主[zhu]题[ti]投[tou]资[zi]机[ji]会[hui]主[zhu]要[yao]来[lai]自[zi]于[yu]两[liang]个[ge]方[fang]面[mian]:一[yi]是[shi]先[xian]进[jin]制[zhi]造[zao]。这[zhe]个[ge]门[men]类[lei]比[bi]较[jiao]多[duo],“要[yao]支[zhi]持[chi]战[zhan]略[lue]性[xing]产[chan]业[ye]发[fa]展[zhan],支[zhi]持[chi]加[jia]大[da]设[she]备[bei]更[geng]新[xin]和[he]技[ji]改[gai]投[tou]入[ru],推[tui]进[jin]传[chuan]统[tong]制[zhi]造[zao]业[ye]优[you]化[hua]升[sheng]级[ji]”。未[wei]来[lai]一[yi]段[duan]时[shi]间[jian],以[yi]高[gao]端[duan]制[zhi]造[zao]为[wei]代[dai]表[biao]的[de]新[xin]兴[xing]产[chan]业[ye]将[jiang]会[hui]成[cheng]为[wei]存[cun]量[liang]市[shi]场[chang]之[zhi]中[zhong]的[de]结[jie]构[gou]性[xing]亮[liang]点[dian]。具[ju]体[ti]投[tou]资[zi]路[lu]线[xian]图[tu]可[ke]翻[fan]阅[yue]昔[xi]日[ri]战[zhan]略[lue]新[xin]兴[xing]产[chan]业[ye]投[tou]资[zi]策[ce]略[lue]。

      二[er]是[shi]雄[xiong]安[an]新[xin]区[qu]概[gai]念[nian]。“要[yao]扎[zha]实[shi]推[tui]进[jin]雄[xiong]安[an]新[xin]区[qu]建[jian]设[she]”,“推[tui]进[jin]京[jing]津[jin]冀[ji]协[xie]同[tong]发[fa]展[zhan]、长[chang]三[san]角[jiao]一[yi]体[ti]化[hua]发[fa]展[zhan]、粤[yue]港[gang]澳[ao]大[da]湾[wan]区[qu]建[jian]设[she],打[da]造[zao]世[shi]界[jie]级[ji]创[chuang]新[xin]平[ping]台[tai]和[he]增[zeng]长[chang]极[ji]”,叠[die]加[jia]基[ji]建[jian]属[shu]性[xing],再[zai]加[jia]上[shang]相[xiang]关[guan]概[gai]念[nian]股[gu]市[shi]场[chang]调[diao]整[zheng]到[dao]位[wei],有[you]望[wang]引[yin]起[qi]市[shi]场[chang]关[guan]注[zhu]。

      据[ju]此[ci],在[zai]重[zhong]点[dian]关[guan]注[zhu]板[ban]块[kuai]中[zhong],建[jian]议[yi]关[guan]注[zhu]先[xian]进[jin]制[zhi]造[zao]板[ban]块[kuai]与[yu]雄[xiong]安[an]新[xin]区[qu]概[gai]念[nian]。

      ==================================================================

      历[li]年[nian]展[zhan]望[wang]回[hui]眸[mou]:

      2019年[nian]A股[gu]展[zhan]望[wang]

      2018年[nian]A股[gu]展[zhan]望[wang]

      2017年[nian]A股[gu]展[zhan]望[wang]

      2016年[nian]A股[gu]展[zhan]望[wang]

      2015年[nian]A股[gu]展[zhan]望[wang]

      2014年[nian]A股[gu]展[zhan]望[wang]

      2013年[nian]A股[gu]展[zhan]望[wang]

      2012年[nian]A股[gu]展[zhan]望[wang]

      2011年[nian]A股[gu]展[zhan]望[wang]

      2010年[nian]A股[gu]展[zhan]望[wang]

      2009年[nian]A股[gu]展[zhan]望[wang]


      我认为念完上文,您必定会清晰"[美美配资]简述2020年A股展望"了吧?早已在上述文章为大伙儿作出了解读,坚信大伙儿在看了上文以后应该可以懂了吧

      转载请注明来自,本文标题:2020年A股展望
      本文地址:http://www.xjnews.net.cn/peizikaihu/5278.html

      标签: 美美配资

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